What’s the likeliest outcome of the Ukraine-Russia crisis?

By | May 10, 2022

Three hundred years of the Imperial Russian Empire will be buried in a ditch in the Donbas! Here’s why.

There’s an old American song: “How ya gonna keep ’em down on the farm, now that they’ve seen Paree?” The song describes the experience of American soldiers going to fight in France in WW1. Many were farm laborers who worked in boring, predictable jobs in the vast, rural areas of America. Paris was the opposite. Exciting, colorful lots of beautiful French women, wine, song, etc …. These young men were entranced. Having seen Paris, few of them wanted to go back to the hum-drum farm in the States.

The same thing has happened in Russia! Three generations of Russians have had access to Social Media, travel, Netflix, MacDonald’s, KFC, computers, Ikea, and the Internet. Do you honestly think they will accept a return to Stalinist, gray concrete Communism? Can they live with Communist substitutes for western apps and media platforms? No chance!

Putin and his kleptocratic circle of oligarchs and gangsters do not understand that the genie is out of the bottle. There is no way they can force it back in. Young Russians have tasted what the 21st Century has to offer, and they like it. Lowering the ‘iron curtain’ once more is out of the question. It would be a return to darkness.

Already, the Russian economy is under siege. It will collapse, eventually. And if Putin declares a ‘general mobilisation’, the young Russians of today will refuse to go to war. Imagine! A young, Russian guy who listens to hip-hop and beats, surfs the net till dawn, meets his friends at Starbucks, and chats with them on WhatsApp, is told he must lose his life for a pack of lies told by throwbacks to the Stalinist era???

It’s not going to happen. That’s why three hundred years of the Imperial Russian Empire will be buried in a ditch in the Donbas.

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